Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by...?
0.4 puan (24s)US PoliticsOne-OffJeopolitikMiddle EastEğlenceMusic5ay
PolymarketKullanılabilirliği kontrol etKYC yok%2 ücretDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel ima edilen olasılıkDecember 31 13%9 seçenek arasında lider
Piyasa kalitesi
49 / 100
Düşük kalite24s Hacim
₺120,2
Likidite
₺45,4 B
Düşük likiditeAlis / Satis
0.3% / 0.7%
Spread
0.4 pt
Dar spread7g Değişim
-0.3 pts
Piyasa verileri
4 dakika önce guncellendi
9 Eki 25 19:1731 Ara 26 0:00
Trendler
0%
0%
0%
0%
Yalnızca sanal bakiye, gerçek para yokYatırım tavsiyesi değildir
Seçilen sonuç
December 3113%
Platformları karşılaştır· December 31
Piyasa kalitesine, ardından likidite ve 24s hacme göre sıralanır| Platform | Kalite | Olasılık | referansa göre | 24s Hacim | Likidite | Güncellik | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketBu sayfaGenel en iyi | Düşük | 13% | — | ₺120,2 | ₺45,4 B | 4 dakika önce | |
 Futuur%93 eşleşme · oto | Düşük | 81% | — | ₺0 | ₺58,2 B | 24 dakika önce | Aç → |
Futuur üzerinde de mevcut
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by which date?
5ay
81%
19%
33 • Düşük kaliteSpread bilinmiyorDüşük likiditeSığ piyasa
Toplam Hacim₺0
24s Hacim₺0
FUTUURKurallar
On October 8, an agreement on an initial ceasefire (Phase 1) was announced, constituting a halt in fighting, a partial Israeli pullback to a “yellow line,” prisoner swaps, expanded aid, and the release of hostages.
- A second phase of the deal, yet to be negotiated, is expected to address further Israeli withdrawal, Hamas’s disarmament, and the establishment of new security and governance arrangements in Gaza.
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement for the second phase of the Israel–Hamas ceasefire, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between Israel and Hamas by October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
- For purposes of this market, a “second phase” ceasefire agreement refers to a deal publicly acknowledged by both Israel and Hamas (directly or via recognized mediators such as the U.S., Egypt, or Qatar) that goes beyond the Phase 1 initial truce and includes commitments towards a comprehensive or “full” ceasefire.
Olasılıklar farklı piyasa yapıları, ücretler ve katılımcı havuzları nedeniyle değişiklik gösterebilir.
Hacim trendi
$32 Tem27g veri28 Tem
İlgili Piyasalar
US x Russia military clash by which date?
₺12,9 BDecember 31,: 4%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by which date?
₺16,4 BDecember 31: 5%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?
₺2,1 MnNo meeting by December 31: 69%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to actual normal of 100 ships per day during Trump's presidency.
₺5 BEvet: 43.2%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
What Will Happen During Trump's Second Term (2025-2029)?
₺1,4 BTrump bans abortion nationwide: 3.2%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWho will win the next Ukrainian presidential elections
₺1,2 BMychajlo Fedorov: 38.2%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSBu konularda aktif
İlgili Haberler
Polymarket: Vance leads 2028 at 19.85% as pricing trend softensBlockchain.News
White House pushes Senate Democrats to take 'historic' crypto Clarity Act ethics dealCoindesk
Senate nears bipartisan CLARITY Act deal after ethics breakthroughCrypto News
White House agrees to ethics provisions in market structure billCointelegraph
Polymarket odds: Eizenkot jumps to 46% to lead Israel PM raceBlockchain.News
Polymarket: US invasion of Iran odds jump to 23.5% after Jordan base claimBlockchain.NewsKurallar
On October 8, an agreement on an initial ceasefire (Phase 1) was announced, constituting a halt in fighting, a partial Israeli pullback to a “yellow line,” prisoner swaps, expanded aid, and the release of hostages.
- A second phase of the deal, yet to be negotiated, is expected to address further Israeli withdrawal, Hamas’s disarmament, and the establishment of new security and governance arrangements in Gaza.
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement for the second phase of the Israel–Hamas ceasefire, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between Israel and Hamas by October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
- For purposes of this market, a “second phase” ceasefire agreement refers to a deal publicly acknowledged by both Israel and Hamas (directly or via recognized mediators such as the U.S., Egypt, or Qatar) that goes beyond the Phase 1 initial truce and includes commitments towards a comprehensive or “full” ceasefire.