Will Benjamin Netanyahu cease to be Prime Minister of Israel before the Israel–Hamas war ends?
PolitikaOne-OffMiddle EastJeopolitik4ayManifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiEvet 56.4%
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Guncelligini yitirmis4 Kas 23 09:58 UTC7 Oca 27 12:59 UTC
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Will Benjamin Netanyahu cease to be Prime Minister of Israel before the end of 2026?
Manifold Markets[ACX 2026] Will Benjamin Netanyahu cease to be Prime Minister of Israel during 2026?
Manifold Markets[ACX 2026] Will Benjamin Netanyahu cease to be Prime Minister of Israel during 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Benjamin Netanyahu be pardoned?
KalshiBinyamin Netanyahu still Prime Minister of Israel through the end of 2026?
FutuurIsrael x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by which date?
PolymarketKurallar
Resolves YES when Benjamin Netanyahu ceases to be the Prime Minister of Israel or NO when the Israel–Hamas war ends, whichever happens first.
- The war "ending" is defined, for the purposes of this market, as the Wikipedia page on the 2023 Israel–Hamas war no longer saying "status: ongoing" in the infobox.
- This includes the status being changed to indicate the war transitioning into a frozen conflict, which Wikipedia tends to do when conflicts are no longer active but never officially ended: the war will be considered "over" for the purposes of this question if that happens.
- In the case of Wikipedia listing the war as no longer "ongoing", I'll wait some time to ensure the change is not reverted, and for any edit war to conclude.
- Then I'll resolve the market based on whether Netanyahu was Prime Minister at the time the change appeared to become final.
- I reserve the right to use a more sensible definition if this turns out to be a bad one, but the spirit is to include both official and de facto ends to the war, whilst deferring to a fairly reliable third-party information aggregator like Wikipedia.
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Sık sorulan sorular
- Will Benjamin Netanyahu cease to be Prime Minister of Israel before the Israel–Hamas war ends? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 8 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla Yes için 56% fiyatlıyor.
- Will Benjamin Netanyahu cease to be Prime Minister of Israel before the Israel–Hamas war ends? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Will Benjamin Netanyahu cease to be Prime Minister of Israel before the Israel–Hamas war ends? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 7 Ocak 2027.
- Will Benjamin Netanyahu cease to be Prime Minister of Israel before the Israel–Hamas war ends? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: Resolves YES when Benjamin Netanyahu ceases to be the Prime Minister of Israel or NO when the Israel–Hamas war ends, whichever happens first.