Conservatives flip Liberals for Canada Seats Polls in 2026?
One-OffPolitikaSeçimJeopolitikChessSpor3ay
PolymarketKullanılabilirliği kontrol etKYC yok%2 ücretDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiİyi kalibreGüncel ima edilen olasılık
Hayır 96%
Piyasa kalitesi
≤49 / 100
Düşük kalite24s Hacim
—
Likidite
₺547 B
Orta likiditeAlış / Satış
3.3% / 5.5%
Spread
2.2 pt
Orta spreadYorumlar
0
7g Değişim
+0.3 pts
Piyasa verileri
11 dakika önce güncellendi
25 Mar 26 16:55 UTC1 Oca 27 04:59 UTC
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KalshiKurallar
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, between the Liberal Party of Canada (LPC) and the Conservative Party of Canada (CPC), the CPC becomes the favorite in the "338Canada Seat Projection" (https://338canada.com/federal.htm#projection) at any published data point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- Equal seat projections will not qualify; the CPC must have a strictly higher seat projection than the LPC.
- Confidence intervals will not be considered; only the main seat projection number will be used.
- Revisions indicating a qualifying projection that are released within this market’s timeframe will be considered, but will not invalidate a previously released data point that resolved the market.
- Revisions published after the specified timeframe will not be considered.