Veri kalitesi uyarısıAnlamlı fiyatlandırma yok
10 Tem 2026 06:13 UTC itibarıyla veriler · politika pm-quality-2
Güncel ima edilen olasılık
Gavin Newsom 48.3%+0.1%32 seçenek arasında lider
Piyasa kalitesi
28 / 100
Düşük kalite24s Hacim
₺0
Likidite
₺0
Düşük likiditeAlis / Satis
-
Piyasa verileri
12 dakika önce guncellendi
24 Şub 26 14:411 Oca 00 0:01
Yalnızca sanal bakiye, gerçek para yokYatırım tavsiyesi değildir
Seçilen sonuç
Gavin Newsom48%
Platformları karşılaştır· Gavin Newsom
Piyasa kalitesine, ardından likidite ve 24s hacme göre sıralanır| Platform | Kalite | Olasılık | referansa göre | 24s Hacim | Likidite | Güncellik | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 KalshiGenel en iyi%74 eşleşme · oto | Orta | 20% | 0pt | ₺190,1 Mn | ₺4,9 Mr | 14 dakika önce | Aç → |
 Polymarket%78 eşleşme · oto | Orta | 19% | -1pt | ₺53 Mn | ₺3,3 Mr | 1 dakika önce | Aç → |
 Smarkets%64 eşleşme · bağlantılı | Düşük | 21% | +1pt | ₺47 | ₺0 | 12 dakika önce | Aç → |
 MyriadBu sayfa | Düşük | 48% | +28pt | ₺0 | ₺0 | 12 dakika önce | |
 Limitless%78 eşleşme · bağlantılı | Düşük | 23% | +3pt | ₺0 | ₺0 | 13 dakika önce | Aç → |
 Manifold Markets%78 eşleşme · bağlantılı | — | 20% | 0pt | — | — | 30 gün önce | Aç → |
| Manifold Markets%78 eşleşme · bağlantılı | — | 22% | +2pt | — | — | evvelsi gün | Aç → |
Polymarket üzerinde de mevcut
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
2y
-0.4%19%
-0.5%14%
-2.1%10%
+125 daha fazla sonuç
73 • Orta kaliteGeniş spreadYüksek likidite
Toplam Hacim₺57,8 Mr
24s Hacim₺53 Mn
POLYMARKETManifold Markets üzerinde de mevcut
Democratic Nominee for 2028 Presidential Election
1y
7.1%
20%
6%
+14 daha fazla sonuç
Topluluk tahmini21 tahminciTür: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETSManifold Markets üzerinde de mevcut
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
2y
-0.1%21.7%
+0.6%11.7%
-0.1%6.5%
+5 daha fazla sonuç
Topluluk tahmini13 tahminciTür: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETSLimitless üzerinde de mevcut
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
2y
23%
13.9%
5.5%
+3 daha fazla sonuç
28 • Düşük kaliteSpread bilinmiyorDüşük likiditeSığ piyasa
Toplam Hacim₺572,8 B
24s Hacim₺0
LIMITLESSKalshi üzerinde de mevcut
2028 Democratic presidential nominee
2y
0%
-0.1%0%
-1.0%0%
+43 daha fazla sonuç
73 • Orta kaliteGeniş spreadYüksek likidite
Toplam Hacim₺7,1 Mr
24s Hacim₺190,1 Mn
KALSHISmarkets üzerinde de mevcut
Democratic Presidential Nominee
13.5%
0.1%
2.6%
+19 daha fazla sonuç
32 • Düşük kaliteSpread bilinmiyorDüşük likiditeSığ piyasa
Toplam Hacim₺491,6 B
24s Hacim₺47
SMARKETSKurallar
### **Market Dates:**
- - **Market Period:** From the publication date until the nomination is officially determined. - **Market Close:** This market remains open until a resolution is achieved. - **Resolution Deadline:** The market will resolve as soon as an outcome is reached.
- ### **Resolution Criteria:**
- - This market resolves to the **individual candidate who officially wins and accepts the 2028 Democratic Party nomination for President of the United States**. - If a candidate not represented by their own bracket wins, the market resolves to “Other.” - Confirmation will rely on the Democratic Party’s **official communications**, as well as reporting from: - **Associated Press** - **Reuters** - **Fox News**
- ### **Resolution Details:**
- - Once the Democratic National Committee (DNC) or the candidate formally announces and accepts the nomination, the market resolves immediately. - If a candidate later withdraws, is replaced, or is removed before Election Day, this does not impact the already resolved outcome. - Superdelegate counts, internal party projections, or unofficial announcements are insufficient unless they are formally confirmed by the party or supported by the resolution sources.
Olasılıklar farklı piyasa yapıları, ücretler ve katılımcı havuzları nedeniyle değişiklik gösterebilir.
İlgili Piyasalar
Presidential Election Winner 2028
₺54,2 MnJD Vance: 20%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Brazil Presidential Election
₺12,9 MnLuiz Inácio Lula da Silva: 61%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
₺11,4 MnUnited Russia (ER): 54%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Maine Senate winner? (Person)
₺6,5 MnTroy Jackson: 39%KALSHI
KALSHI
Los Angeles Mayor winner?
₺4,9 MnKaren Bass: 64%KALSHI
KALSHI
2028 Republican presidential nominee
₺3,7 MnMarco Rubio: 29%KALSHI
KALSHIBu konularda aktif
İlgili Haberler
McMorrow exit tightens Michigan race as Polymarket keeps Vance atop at 20%Blockchain.News
McMorrow exits Michigan Senate race as Polymarket cuts Newsom 2028 oddsBlockchain.NewsColorado socialist upset lifts Polymarket: Lula at 57.5% for Brazil 2026Blockchain.News
Democrats ramp up election-integrity push as Polymarket keeps Bardella at 25.5%Blockchain.News
Colorado Dem upset jolts 2028 chatter as Polymarket puts Newsom at 20.5%Blockchain.News
Colorado primary surprise as Polymarket keeps Maduro favored at 80%Blockchain.NewsKurallar
### **Market Dates:**
- - **Market Period:** From the publication date until the nomination is officially determined. - **Market Close:** This market remains open until a resolution is achieved. - **Resolution Deadline:** The market will resolve as soon as an outcome is reached.
- ### **Resolution Criteria:**
- - This market resolves to the **individual candidate who officially wins and accepts the 2028 Democratic Party nomination for President of the United States**. - If a candidate not represented by their own bracket wins, the market resolves to “Other.” - Confirmation will rely on the Democratic Party’s **official communications**, as well as reporting from: - **Associated Press** - **Reuters** - **Fox News**
- ### **Resolution Details:**
- - Once the Democratic National Committee (DNC) or the candidate formally announces and accepts the nomination, the market resolves immediately. - If a candidate later withdraws, is replaced, or is removed before Election Day, this does not impact the already resolved outcome. - Superdelegate counts, internal party projections, or unofficial announcements are insufficient unless they are formally confirmed by the party or supported by the resolution sources.