Veri kalitesi uyarısıAnlamlı fiyatlandırma yok
7 Ağu 2026 15:50 UTC itibarıyla veriler · politika pm-quality-3
Güncel ima edilen olasılık
Gavin Newsom 44.3%32 seçenek arasında lider
Piyasa kalitesi
30 / 100
Düşük kalite24s Hacim
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Likidite
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Likidite bilinmiyorTraders
5,243
Piyasa verileri
2 dakika önce guncellendi
24 Şub 26 14:411 Oca 00 0:01
Trendler
Kurallar
### **Market Dates:**
- - **Market Period:** From the publication date until the nomination is officially determined. - **Market Close:** This market remains open until a resolution is achieved. - **Resolution Deadline:** The market will resolve as soon as an outcome is reached.
- ### **Resolution Criteria:**
- - This market resolves to the **individual candidate who officially wins and accepts the 2028 Democratic Party nomination for President of the United States**. - If a candidate not represented by their own bracket wins, the market resolves to “Other.” - Confirmation will rely on the Democratic Party’s **official communications**, as well as reporting from: - **Associated Press** - **Reuters** - **Fox News**
- ### **Resolution Details:**
- - Once the Democratic National Committee (DNC) or the candidate formally announces and accepts the nomination, the market resolves immediately. - If a candidate later withdraws, is replaced, or is removed before Election Day, this does not impact the already resolved outcome. - Superdelegate counts, internal party projections, or unofficial announcements are insufficient unless they are formally confirmed by the party or supported by the resolution sources.
Tahmin Kaynağı Karşılaştırması
CoinRithm referansı Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 19% · 5 platform · 3 puan venue farki
- Manifold Markets üzerinde de mevcut — Democratic Nominee for 2028 Presidential Election · Gavin Newsom 24%
- Smarkets üzerinde de mevcut — Democratic Presidential Nominee · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 18%
- Gemini üzerinde de mevcut — 2028 Democratic Nominee for President? · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 22%
- Kalshi üzerinde de mevcut — 2028 Democratic presidential nominee · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 18%
- Robinhood (Rothera) üzerinde de mevcut — 2028 Democratic Presidential Nominee · AOCA 20%
- Polymarket üzerinde de mevcut — Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 21%
- Limitless üzerinde de mevcut — Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 · Pete Buttigieg 50%
- ForecastEx üzerinde de mevcut — Will J.B. Pritzker win the Democratic Nomination for US President in 2028? · No 96%
Açık piyasalar
Politics
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez18.8%
- Jon Ossoff-1.0pt16.8%
- Gavin Newsom-1.0pt12.9%
+45 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺9,3 Mr
- 24s Hacim
- ₺114,8 Mn
KALSHISouth Carolina Republican Senate special primary winner?
- Darline Graham-1.0pt58.7%
- Ralph Norman33%
- Pamela Evette0.9%
+8 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺784,3 Mn
- 24s Hacim
POLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+2.0pt86%
- Yes-2.0pt14%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺525,2 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺53,2 Mn
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31+3.0pt76%
- October 31+7.5pt60%
- September 30+5.0pt41%
+17 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva61.8%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+0.8pt34.3%
- Renan Santos-0.6pt2.9%
+15 daha fazla sonuç
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party85.9%
- Republican Party-1.0pt14.1%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺1,2 Mr
- 24s Hacim
- ₺26,3 Mn
- Next French Presidential Election
- South Carolina Republican Senate special primary runoff margin of victory?
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- 2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?
- Ohio Governor winner?
- Oklahoma Republican Governor nominee?
- Presidential Election Winner 2028
- Florida Republican Governor primary: James Fishback vote percent
- Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
Sık sorulan sorular
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Myriad, 25 Ağustos 2026 itibarıyla Gavin Newsom için 44% fiyatlıyor.
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 1 Ocak 2100.
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Myriad bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: ### **Market Dates:**
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 başka nerede listeleniyor?
- Aynı soru şu platformlarda da listeleniyor: Manifold Markets, Smarkets, Gemini, Kalshi, Robinhood (Rothera), Polymarket, Limitless, ForecastEx.