Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiHayır 76%
Tahminciler
11
Soru türü
binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
9 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis7 Haz 26 22:00 UTC31 Ağu 28 23:59 UTC
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İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Will the 2028 Republican Presidential nominee be a woman?
PolymarketDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
Polymarket2028 Democratic presidential nominee
Kalshi2028 Democratic Presidential Nominee
Robinhood (Rothera)Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
Manifold MarketsAge of 2028 Democratic Presidential Nominee?
PolymarketKurallar
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to YES if the official Democratic nominee for President of the United States in the 2028 presidential election is a woman.
- It will resolve to NO if the nominee is a man or does not identify as a woman.
- Source of Truth: Resolution will be determined by the official nomination at the 2028 Democratic National Convention (scheduled for August 7–10, 2028) or the official nominee certified by the Democratic National Committee (DNC) if the selection is conducted via an alternative official process (e.g., a virtual roll call).
- Gender Identity: The gender of the nominee will be determined by their public self-identification at the time of nomination.
- Edge Cases: If a candidate is officially nominated but subsequently withdraws, dies, or is replaced after the formal conclusion of the nominating convention or official selection process, the market will still resolve based on the identity of the person who originally accepted the nomination.
Tahmin Kaynağı Karşılaştırması
Açık piyasalar
PoliticsPOLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-0.6pt18%
- Gavin Newsom+0.1pt16%
- Jon Ossoff16%
+48 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺62,6 Mr
- 24s Hacim
- ₺102,4 Mn
POLYMARKETVenezuela leader end of 2026?
- Nicolás Maduro-28.9pt53%
- Delcy Rodríguez+23.5pt39%
- No Head of State-0.1pt1%
+13 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance51%
- Marco Rubio+0.1pt16%
- Ron DeSantis3%
+39 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺34,5 Mr
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17.4%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+1.0pt16.3%
- Gavin Newsom-1.0pt13.3%
+45 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺10,8 Mr
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party+1.4pt91%
- Republican Party-0.6pt9%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺1,6 Mr
- 24s Hacim
- ₺23 Mn
KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Democrats sweep59.6%
- D-House, R-Senate+1.0pt30.3%
- Republicans sweep-0.5pt9.1%
+1 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- What will Trump say this week?
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- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by which date?
- Trump out as President by September 30?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Which party will win the House in 2026?
- Next French Presidential Election
- Brazil Presidential Election
- Los Angeles Mayor winner?
Sık sorulan sorular
- Will the 2028 Democratic Presidential nominee be a woman? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 20 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla No için 76% fiyatlıyor.
- Will the 2028 Democratic Presidential nominee be a woman? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Will the 2028 Democratic Presidential nominee be a woman? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 31 Ağustos 2028.
- Will the 2028 Democratic Presidential nominee be a woman? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: Resolution criteria
- Will the 2028 Democratic Presidential nominee be a woman? başka nerede listeleniyor?
- Aynı soru şu platformlarda da listeleniyor: PredictIt, Polymarket.