Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahmini
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 17%17 seçenek arasında lider
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 17%Tahminciler
24
Soru türü
multiple choice
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
7g Değişim
+0.1 pts
Piyasa verileri
6 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis23 Ara 24 23:29 UTC1 Tem 28 04:59 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Conditional on (x) being the 2028 democratic nominee, (x) wins the 2028 presidential election
Manifold MarketsWho will be the Democratic nominee, and will they win the 2028 presidential election?
Manifold MarketsWill the Democratic nominee for 2028 presidential election be a female?
Manifold MarketsWill the Republican nominee or Democratic nominee for 2028 presidential election be a female?
Manifold MarketsLA-05 Democratic nominee?
KalshiLA-04 Democratic nominee?
KalshiKurallar
Resolution Criteria
- This market will resolve based on who becomes the Democratic Party's nominee for the 2028 presidential election, as determined by:
- Securing enough delegates to win the nomination at the Democratic National Convention, OR
- Being declared the presumptive nominee after all other candidates have dropped out or suspended their campaigns
- The market will resolve N/A if:
- The Democratic Party dissolves or ceases to exist before 2028
Tahmin Kaynağı Karşılaştırması
- Manifold Markets üzerinde de mevcut — Who will be the democratic nominee for president in 2028 · AOC 17%
- Smarkets üzerinde de mevcut — Democratic Presidential Nominee · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 17%
- Kalshi üzerinde de mevcut — 2028 Democratic presidential nominee · Jon Ossoff 17%
- Robinhood (Rothera) üzerinde de mevcut — 2028 Democratic Presidential Nominee · JOSS 20%
- Polymarket üzerinde de mevcut — Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 18%
- Limitless üzerinde de mevcut — Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
