Who will be the Democratic nominee, and will they win the 2028 presidential election?
PolitikaOne-OffABD SiyasetiSeçim2y
Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiSomeone else is the Democratic nominee and that person WINS the presidency 13.6%22 seçenek arasında lider
Tahminciler
10
Soru türü
multiple choice
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
7g Değişim
0.0 pts
Piyasa verileri
2 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis26 Ağu 26 11:52 UTC7 Kas 28 23:59 UTC
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Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Conditional on (x) being the 2028 democratic nominee, (x) wins the 2028 presidential election
Manifold MarketsWill the Democratic nominee for 2028 presidential election be a female?
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Manifold MarketsLA-04 Democratic nominee?
KalshiLA-05 Democratic nominee?
KalshiKurallar
This market resolves to the option that correctly identifies the 2028 Democratic presidential nominee and whether they win the 2028 U.S. presidential election.
- Democratic Nominee: The individual who officially secures the Democratic Party's presidential nomination at the 2028 Democratic National Convention (DNC) or is formally certified by the Democratic National Committee to appear on the general election ballot in November 2028.
- Winning the Presidency: The candidate will be treated as having won the 2028 presidential election once there is a clear consensus among major reputable news organizations that they are the president-elect.
- For this purpose, “clear consensus” means the Associated Press has called the race for the candidate and at least two of Reuters, the New York Times, CNN, Fox News, ABC News, CBS News, or NBC News have done the same.
- Resolution Rules:
- Only one option will resolve YES; all other options will resolve NO.
