Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiHayır 90.6%
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21
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
17 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis25 Haz 26 23:08 UTC31 Ara 26 23:59 UTC
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İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Will a vaccine for HIV be approved by the FDA and be available for public use by 2027?
Manifold MarketsWhich company has best AI model end of 2026?
PolymarketWhich company has the best AI model end of October?
PolymarketWhich companies will have a #1 AI model by December 31?
PolymarketWhich companies will have a top-ranked AI model this year?
KalshiWill a Chinese AI model be #1 this year?
KalshiKurallar
alt title: "Musk and Trump no longer bffs?"
- Resolves YES on:
- any temporary, "you must delay release to allow US gov to use first" situations, or
- any model being pulled from public availability, for any amount of time
- any model being restricted to US only or similar
- Not enough to count:
Açık piyasalar
US PoliticsPOLYMARKETFed Decision in October?
- No change-11.0pt52%
- 25 bps increase+11.0pt46.1%
- 25 bps decrease-0.8pt1%
+2 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺287,8 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺157,2 Mn
POLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No-2.9pt92%
- Yes+2.9pt8%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺1 Mr
- 24s Hacim
- ₺31,2 Mn
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party+2.0pt88.1%
- Republican Party-2.0pt11.9%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺1,5 Mr
- 24s Hacim
- ₺29,7 Mn
POLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez18%
- Gavin Newsom-0.1pt16%
- Jon Ossoff+0.2pt16%
+48 daha fazla sonuç
KALSHIWill Trump publicly criticize Kevin Warsh?
- Before Jan 1, 2027-26.0pt43%
- Before Dec 1, 202630.7%
- Before Nov 1, 202614.9%
+2 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺26,2 Mn
KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Democrats sweep+4.0pt57.4%
- D-House, R-Senate-1.0pt30.7%
- Republicans sweep-3.0pt10.9%
+1 daha fazla sonuç
- Florida Governor winner?
- Presidential Election Winner 2028
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- Nebraska Senate winner?
- 2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?
- Which party will win the U.S. Senate?
- Texas Senate winner?
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Sık sorulan sorular
- Will xAI have an AI model restricted from public use in 2026? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 16 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla No için 91% fiyatlıyor.
- Will xAI have an AI model restricted from public use in 2026? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Will xAI have an AI model restricted from public use in 2026? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 31 Aralık 2026.
- Will xAI have an AI model restricted from public use in 2026? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: alt title: "Musk and Trump no longer bffs?"