Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiHayır 98%
Tahminciler
20
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
5 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis1 Mar 26 19:12 UTC31 Ara 26 22:59 UTC
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Resolution Criteria
- This market resolves YES if a military conflict meeting the definition of World War 3 begins on or after November 19, 2026, the release date of GTA VI.
- Resolution is based on whether major powers (typically defined as permanent UN Security Council members or NATO members) engage in direct military conflict.
- The market resolves NO if no such conflict occurs by a specified end date.
- Resolution sources may include official government statements, major news outlets (Reuters, AP, BBC), UN declarations, or NATO announcements.
- GTA VI is scheduled to release on November 19, 2026, after delays that extended the development timeline.