Will "what makes Claude 3 Opus misaligned" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
YZOne-Off3ay
Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiİyi kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiHayır 86.4%
Tahminciler
5
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
14 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis11 Eyl 25 16:26 UTC1 Şub 27 00:00 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Next Claude Opus (5.6+) released on?
PolymarketNext Claude Opus (5.6+) released by which date?
PolymarketHow low will the Claude Opus 4.8 input token price get in 2026?
KalshiClaude Opus 5.6+ (Anthropic) release date
Manifold MarketsWhat will Claude Opus's output token price hit in 2026?
PolymarketHow low will the Claude Opus 4.8 output token price get in 2026?
KalshiKurallar
As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts.
- Posts are reviewable once they have been up for at least 12 months, and the 2025 Review resolves in February 2027.
- This market will resolve to 100% if the post what makes Claude 3 Opus misaligned is one of the top fifty posts of the 2025 Review, and 0% otherwise.
- The market was initialized to 14%.