Güncel topluluk tahmini
Before 2027-04-01 94.5%+44.5pt9 seçenek arasında lider
Tahminciler
8
Soru türü
multiple choice
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
7g Değişim
+44.5 pts
Piyasa verileri
2 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis28 Eki 26 22:03 UTC1 Nis 27 03:59 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
How low will the Claude Opus 4.8 input token price get in 2026?
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Manifold MarketsHow low will the Claude Opus 4.8 output token price get in 2026?
KalshiWhat will Claude Opus's output token price hit in 2026?
PolymarketWill "Claude 4.5 Opus' Soul Document" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
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Manifold MarketsKurallar
The '+' means any version at or above 5.6 counts: if Anthropic skips 5.6 and releases Claude Opus 5.7 or Opus 6, that still counts for the purpose of this market.
- Minor changes to the name, or other names for a model generally expected to be called Claude Opus 5.6, will also count.
- The model must be accessible without individual vetting or invitation — free or paid, via API or product.
- Open, non-selective waitlists count.
- Closed betas, invite-only access, researcher programs, A/B tests, and anonymous benchmark appearances do not.
- Country-level bans do not prevent resolution.