Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahmini
Hayır 50.3%
Tahminciler
333
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
3 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis7 Ara 23 22:20 UTC1 Mar 30 22:59 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Any of these 30 LLM-generated disasters happens in Europe through 2027
Manifold MarketsWill we get AGI before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill WW3 start before gta6?
Manifold MarketsHealthcare AI adoption in September
KalshiTrump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027?
PolymarketHantavirus pandemic in 2026?
PolymarketKurallar
Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) refers to a type of artificial intelligence that has the ability to understand, learn, and apply its intelligence to a wide variety of problems, much like a human being.
- Unlike narrow or weak AI, which is designed and trained for specific tasks (like language translation, playing a game, or image recognition), AGI can theoretically perform any intellectual task that a human being can.
- It involves the capability to reason, plan, solve problems, think abstractly, comprehend complex ideas, learn quickly, and learn from experience.
- Resolves as YES if such a system is created and publicly announced before January 1st 2030
- MOD EDIT (Nov 2, 2025 - @Stralor)
- This market uses In what specific year will we hit AGI? as its baseline.
Açık piyasalar
Russia / UkrainePOLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+1.0pt75%
- New People (NL)-0.9pt21%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)+0.2pt3%
+5 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺1,3 Mr
- 24s Hacim
- ₺15,1 Mn
POLYMARKETPutin out as President of Russia by which date?
- June 30, 2027-1.0pt14%
- December-1.0pt7%
- September 30,+0.1pt1%
+2 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETWhere will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next before 2027?
- No meeting before 2027+0.5pt91.2%
- Turkey+0.3pt2%
- Switzerland-0.3pt2%
+11 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETRussia Elections: Yabloko Clears Duma Threshold?
- No+0.1pt99%
- Yes-0.1pt1%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺32,5 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺3,4 Mn
POLYMARKETUnited Russia seats in the next Russian legislative election?
- 325–339-0.5pt37.1%
- 340–354-1.5pt24.7%
- 310–324-3.3pt19.6%
POLYMARKETWhere will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?
- China+4.0pt55.5%
- No meeting by December 31-2.0pt33.7%
- Gulf country+1.9pt3%
+12 daha fazla sonuç
- Bank of Russia decision in September?
- Will Russia capture Bilytske by which date?
- Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?
- Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by which date?
- Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by which date?
- Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by which date?
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by which date?
- Russia x Ukraine peace talks by which date?
- Which cities will Russia enter by December 31?
- Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
Sık sorulan sorular
- Will we get AGI before 2030? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 10 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla No için 50% fiyatlıyor.
- Will we get AGI before 2030? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Will we get AGI before 2030? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 1 Mart 2030.
- Will we get AGI before 2030? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) refers to a type of artificial intelligence that has the ability to understand, learn, and apply its intelligence to a wide variety of problems, much like a human being.