Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiEvet 51%
Tahminciler
49
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
18 dakika önce güncellendi
19 Ara 25 04:47 UTC31 Ara 26 05:02 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia by which date?
PolymarketWill Russia formally cede any territory before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Russia formally cede Crimea before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Russia cede territory to China by 2040 as predicted by Sarah Paine?
Manifold MarketsNothing Ever Happens: 2026
PolymarketTrump, Putin, and Xi seen together before 2027?
PolymarketKurallar
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves YES if Ukraine cedes control of any territory to Russia through a peace agreement , or other official arrangement..
- Resolves NO if Ukraine maintains its position of not ceding territory as part of any peace effort.
- ❗️Ukraine does not have to formally recognise the land as russian, just so long as they give it up for now as part of a peace deal ❗
- Ongoing peace negotiations between Ukraine, the U.S., and European officials have made progress on security guarantees but left significant gaps on territorial control.
- Putin has demanded that Ukraine surrender territory for the war to end, while Zelenskyy to date has refused to cede any land.
