Will Russia cede territory to China by 2040 as predicted by Sarah Paine?
JeopolitikOne-OffRusya / UkraynaÇin13y
Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiEvet 56.4%
Tahminciler
8
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
20 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis7 Şub 25 07:25 UTC31 Ara 39 12:59 UTC
Trendler
Kurallar
In this interview at 1:50:50 Sarah Paine predicts that China will choose an opportune time to demand territory in Siberia from Russia.
- She says that a war is unlikely, rather the Chinese will give the Russians an offer they can't refuse.
- In particular she notes Lake Baikal will be very useful for China's water shortages.
- https://youtu.be/LbkO84MsmyM
- This market resolves if any such concessions are made by 2040.
