Will Trump "Sell Out" Taiwan Under Rubio's State Department
PolitikaOne-OffABD SiyasetiJeopolitikÇin2y
Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiİyi kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiHayır 67.8%
Tahminciler
17
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
23 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis8 Kas 24 00:34 UTC21 Oca 29 07:59 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
When will Calibri be reinstated at the State Department?
Manifold Marketswill the US department of state issue surveillance-related travel warnings to people who visit china by EOY2028??
Manifold MarketsMarco Rubio visiting Taiwan before the end of 2028?
Manifold MarketsHow many Gold Cards will Trump sell in 2026?
PolymarketNothing Ever Happens: 2026
PolymarketWill China invade Taiwan before the 2026 midterms?
Manifold MarketsKurallar
Will the Trump administration take specific actions undermining support for Taiwan during Trump's term (January 20, 2025 - January 20, 2029), with Marco Rubio as Secretary of State?
- Resolution Criteria
- This market will resolve YES if ANY of the following occur during Trump's presidency with Rubio as Secretary of State:
- Official Policy Changes:
- Formal recognition of PRC sovereignty over Taiwan
- Explicit withdrawal of previous US security commitments to Taiwan
