Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiHayır 96.8%
Tahminciler
113
Soru türü
binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
11 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis9 Mar 24 22:01 UTC3 Kas 26 22:59 UTC
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İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?
PolymarketWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
LimitlessWill China invade Taiwan before 2027
Manifold MarketsWill China invade Taiwan by year's end?
Manifold MarketsWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
PolymarketWill China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
PolymarketKurallar
If Trump wins the US 2024 election, will China invade Taiwan before the 2026 midterms? For the purpose of this market, an invasion is defined as any military offensive aimed at establishing control over any portion of Taiwan.
- This market resolves N/A if Trump does not win the 2024 election or if China invades Taiwan before the 2024 election.
- Biden market: https://manifold.markets/Simon74fe/if-biden-wins-will-china-invade-tai
- Update 2025-12-07 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): A blockade alone would not count as an invasion for the purposes of this market.
- An invasion requires a military offensive aimed at establishing control over any portion of Taiwan.
Açık piyasalar
GeopoliticsPOLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+4.0pt74%
- New People (NL)-3.3pt22%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.0pt3%
+5 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺1,3 Mr
- 24s Hacim
- ₺29,5 Mn
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-3.9pt47.8%
- October 31-3.0pt29.2%
- September 30-4.0pt12.4%
+17 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- September 30-5.0pt74%
- September 18-10.0pt67%
- September 11-2.5pt63%
+2 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- December 317%
- September 30+0.3pt1%
- July 310%
+7 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+20 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- No-0.1pt96%
- Yes+0.1pt4%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺2 Mr
- 24s Hacim
- ₺5,3 Mn
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
- US-Iran nuclear deal?
- Russia x Ukraine peace talks by which date?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by which date?
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- Iran full airspace closure by which date?
- Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?
- Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by which date?
Sık sorulan sorular
- Will China invade Taiwan before the 2026 midterms? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 8 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla No için 97% fiyatlıyor.
- Will China invade Taiwan before the 2026 midterms? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Will China invade Taiwan before the 2026 midterms? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 3 Kasım 2026.
- Will China invade Taiwan before the 2026 midterms? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: If Trump wins the US 2024 election, will China invade Taiwan before the 2026 midterms? For the purpose of this market, an invasion is defined as any military offensive aimed at establishing control over any portion of Taiwan.