Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiİyi kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiEvet 73.9%
Tahminciler
14
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
9 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis17 Mar 26 02:03 UTC20 Oca 29 23:59 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Will the US attack Cuba before China attacks Taiwan?
Manifold MarketsWill the US attack Cuba before the 2026 midterm elections?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump make Cuba an American Territory?
Manifold MarketsWill Donald Trump OR Marco Rubio visit Cuba before Trump’s presidency ends?
Manifold MarketsUS military action against Cuba by which date?
PolymarketEx-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by which date?
PolymarketKurallar
Criteria of resolution: This market resolves YES if US armed forces conduct a publicly acknowledged military operation involving kinetic force in Cuba’s sovereign territory, meaning Cuban land, territorial sea, or national airspace.
- For this market, “US armed forces” includes the Army, Marine Corps, Navy, Air Force, Space Force, and Coast Guard.
- Official U.S. sources describe territorial sea and the airspace above it as part of a state’s territory, and the standard breadth is up to 12 nautical miles.
- This market resolves NO otherwise.
- Sanctions, embargoes, cyber operations, espionage, covert actions not publicly acknowledged, or threats without actual use of force.
- Routine activity at Guantánamo Bay that does not involve kinetic force directed into Cuban sovereign territory.
