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Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Will the US attack Cuba before China attacks Taiwan?
Manifold MarketsWhere will the US attack in 2026? [add your answer]
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Manifold MarketsWill Trump attack Cuba by the end of his term?
Manifold MarketsRepublican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
PolymarketWill the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?
PolymarketKurallar
Resolves YES if the U.S. military attacks Cuba before the 2026 midterm elections on Nov 3, 2026.
- Resolves NO otherwise.
- Update 2026-06-18 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator has clarified what counts as a military attack for resolution purposes:
- Counts (YES): Limited drone or missile strike, sustained bombing, full invasion
- Does NOT count (NO): Covert operatives conducting sabotage/assassination/kidnapping, or arming/directing a proxy group — unless done overtly under the US banner, or they lead to open war