Will Trump announce a new tariff/immigration policy by end of September 2026?”
Trade PolicyOne-OffPolitikaUS PoliticsSeçim21gManifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiEvet 99%
Tahminciler
15
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
54 dakika önce güncellendi
Gecikmeli10 Tem 26 05:48 UTC30 Eyl 26 23:59 UTC
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Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
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Manifold MarketsKurallar
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if, between July 10, 2026, and September 30, 2026, at 11:59 PM Eastern Time (ET), President Donald J. Trump or the White House officially announces a new policy, executive action, presidential memorandum, proclamation, or legislative proposal concerning U.S. tariffs or immigration.
- Otherwise, this market resolves to NO.
- Definition of "New": The announcement must introduce a policy, tariff rate, target category, border enforcement directive, or visa rule that is distinct from policies officially active or announced prior to July 10, 2026.
- Expanding, replacing, or substantively modifying an existing program counts as a new policy; merely executing or re-stating an established schedule from a prior order does not.
- Definition of "Announce": The policy must be officially communicated directly by President Trump (e.g., via his official Truth Social account, a live public address, or an official press conference) or formally issued via the White House Briefing Room or the Federal Register.
Açık piyasalar
Trade Policy
POLYMARKETUS-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by which date?
- December 31+8.0pt55.2%
- October 31+7.0pt32%
- September 30+2.0pt12.8%
+1 daha fazla sonuç
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- ₺6,3 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺457,9 B
POLYMARKETIran charges Hormuz fees by which date?
- December 3128%
- October 31+1.0pt14%
- September 30-1.0pt6%
+3 daha fazla sonuç
KALSHIWill Trump order more tariffs in Sep 2026?
- Yes+27.0pt94%
- No6%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺321,1 B
- 24s Hacim
- ₺229,8 B
KALSHIWhat will Karoline Leavitt say during RNC Midterm Convention?
- Trump (3+ times)91%
- Republican80%
- Inflation59%
+15 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺64,2 B
- 24s Hacim
- ₺64,2 B
KALSHIHow much will the US acquire Greenland for?
- $0 / No Acquisition83.2%
- $10 billion to $99 billion5%
- $300 billion to $599 billion4%
+5 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺81,6 Mn
- 24s Hacim
POLYMARKETTrump meets with Mark Carney by which date?
- October 31+1.0pt56%
- September 30-14.0pt9%
- September 15-0.7pt1%
+1 daha fazla sonuç
- Will the U.S. enact a free trade agreement?
- Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (9/7 - 9/13)
- Which USMCA outcomes will occur in 2026?
- US x China tariff agreement by December 31?
- Will Americans receive tariff stimulus checks?
- When will the US and China reach a tariff agreement?
- US charges Hormuz fees by which date?
- Trump issues Iran Sanctions Executive Order by which date?
- Will Apple purchase CXMT memory chips in 2026?
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- Canada cuts off or throttles electricity to the US by December 31?
İlgili Kriptolar
Sık sorulan sorular
- Will Trump announce a new tariff/immigration policy by end of September 2026?” için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 9 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla Yes için 99% fiyatlıyor.
- Will Trump announce a new tariff/immigration policy by end of September 2026?” ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Will Trump announce a new tariff/immigration policy by end of September 2026?” için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 30 Eylül 2026.
- Will Trump announce a new tariff/immigration policy by end of September 2026?” nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: Resolution criteria