Will Tor Parsons (Tor's Cabinet of Curiosities) publicly come out as trans by EoY 2026?
ABD SiyasetiOne-OffToplum ve KültürEğlence2ay
Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiHayır 95.5%
Tahminciler
24
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
7 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis17 Oca 26 19:31 UTC31 Ara 26 23:59 UTC
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KalshiKurallar
In a live stream (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BR9G3eMEmxE) Tor encouraged viewers to create a prediction market about whether he would come out as trans.
- To resolve YES, at least one of the following conditions must be met:
- A public announcement in any public social media such as Twitter, Bluesky, Youtube, Instagram or public Facebook post before 23:59:59 EST on 31/12/2026 by Tor Parsons (or the person formerly known as Tor Parsons) of Tor's transgender or non-binary status.
- A public announcement as above that Tor is taking estrogen or testosterone-blockers for the purpose of feminisation.
- A public announcement as above that Tor has changed his pronouns to no longer include he/him.
- The edge case of Tor changing his pronouns to he/they will still resolve to NO if none of the other conditions are met, though they/he will resolve to YES.
