Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiHayır 84.1%
Tahminciler
106
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
19 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis2 Tem 23 02:33 UTC1 Oca 31 07:59 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Will Tor Parsons (Tor's Cabinet of Curiosities) publicly come out as trans by EoY 2026?
Manifold MarketsIf Donald Trump is elected, will the US become bad enough for me as a trans woman that I have to emigrate to the UK?
Manifold MarketsWill Taylor Swift publicly come out as gay, bisexual, or queer before the end of 2030?
Manifold MarketsRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
Polymarket$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
PolymarketUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
PolymarketKurallar
This market resolves YES if a Republican in office comes out as trans before 2030.
- This includes both stealth trans Republicans and closeted trans Republicans.
- This market resolves NO if no Republican who is in office comes out as trans, either on the campaign trail or after their term has completed.
- Edit: Removed the word currently to remove ambiguity and bring into better alignment with the question.
Açık piyasalar
US Politics
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff+1.0pt17.4%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.0pt16.3%
- Gavin Newsom14.3%
+45 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺10,4 Mr
- 24s Hacim
- ₺37,8 Mn
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio+0.3pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺34 Mr
POLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M+1.6pt96%
- $25M+1.5pt94%
- $50M+1.0pt88%
+4 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-2.2pt49.1%
- October 31-2.0pt29.8%
- September 30-5.0pt12.3%
+17 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+2.0pt86%
- Yes-2.0pt14%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺702,6 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺13,8 Mn
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party84.2%
- Republican Party-1.0pt15.8%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺1,4 Mr
- 24s Hacim
- ₺12,2 Mn
- Presidential Election Winner 2028
- Rhode Island Democratic Governor nominee?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- NJ-07 House winner?
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- IA-01 House winner?
- Which states will redistrict before the midterms?
- 2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
Sık sorulan sorular
- Will a Republican come out as trans in office before 2030? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 8 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla No için 84% fiyatlıyor.
- Will a Republican come out as trans in office before 2030? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Will a Republican come out as trans in office before 2030? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 1 Ocak 2031.
- Will a Republican come out as trans in office before 2030? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: This market resolves YES if a Republican in office comes out as trans before 2030.