Will there be troops or federal agents at US voting booths in 2026 or 2028?
PolitikaJeopolitikOne-OffABD SiyasetiSeçim2y
Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiİyi kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiEvet 59.9%
Tahminciler
282
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
5 dakika önce güncellendi
3 Şub 26 09:42 UTC31 Ara 28 23:59 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Will there be troops or federal agents at US voting booths in 2026 or 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill Federal Agents draw guns on voters on Election Day 2026
Manifold MarketsWho wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement before the midterms?
PolymarketUS-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?
PolymarketIf Trump is elected, will there be a ceasefire in Ukraine before the 2026 midterms?
Manifold MarketsWill the US officially declare war on Iran by which date?
PolymarketKurallar
Resolution Criteria
- Federal law explicitly prohibits deploying federal troops or armed federal law enforcement to any polling place, with violations carrying criminal penalties including fines and imprisonment of up to five years.
- This market resolves YES if, during the 2026 midterm elections or 2028 presidential election, credible reporting documents the presence of active-duty military personnel, National Guard troops (when federalized), or federal law enforcement agents (including ICE, DHS, or FBI) stationed at, near, or with apparent intent to monitor voting booths or polling locations.
- The presence must be armed or in official capacity with election-related authority.
- Unarmed plainclothes poll observers or off-duty military members voting do not count.
- Resolution sources: news reports from major outlets (AP, Reuters, NPR, etc.), court filings, official statements from election officials or DOJ, or documented evidence from election monitoring organizations.
