Will Federal Agents draw guns on voters on Election Day 2026
PolitikaOne-OffSeçimABD SiyasetiJeopolitikSuç ve Adalet14g
Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiHayır 79.2%
Tahminciler
14
Soru türü
binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
20 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis21 Mar 26 22:56 UTC4 Kas 26 23:59 UTC
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Resolution criteria
- This market resolves YES if federal agents (including FBI, ICE, DHS, or other federal law enforcement) draw firearms on voters at polling locations on Election Day 2026 (November 3, 2026).
- The act of drawing a gun must occur at or immediately adjacent to a polling place and be directed at or in the presence of voters.
- This market resolves NO if no such incident occurs by the end of Election Day 2026.
- Resolution will be determined by credible news reports from major outlets documenting the incident.
- Ambiguous cases (e.g., agents drawing weapons in response to an active threat unrelated to voting) will resolve NO unless the primary context is voter intimidation or election interference.
