Will there be any public agreement on frontier AI between China and the US or American AI companies before 2028?
PolitikaOne-OffYZUS PoliticsChinaTeknolojiJeopolitik1yManifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiEvet 74.5%
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8
Soru türü
binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Piyasa verileri
7 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis13 Eyl 26 03:26 UTC31 Ara 27 23:59 UTC
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Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if, at any point between September 13, 2026, and December 31, 2027, at 11:59 PM UTC, a formal, public agreement is announced that specifically addresses frontier AI safety, governance, capability pacing, security, or military application between:
- The government of the United States and the government of the People's Republic of China (PRC), OR
- One or more major American AI companies (defined as US-headquartered frontier AI developers, including OpenAI, Anthropic, Google, Meta, and Microsoft) and either the PRC government or major Chinese AI companies (e.g., Baidu, Tencent, Alibaba, ByteDance, DeepSeek, Moonshot AI, MiniMax).
- Qualifying Agreements:
- Must be a dedicated bilateral or plurilateral agreement, memorandum of understanding (MoU), joint declaration, or treaty.
Sık sorulan sorular
- Will there be any public agreement on frontier AI between China and the US or American AI companies before 2028? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 20 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla Yes için 75% fiyatlıyor.
- Will there be any public agreement on frontier AI between China and the US or American AI companies before 2028? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Will there be any public agreement on frontier AI between China and the US or American AI companies before 2028? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 31 Aralık 2027.
- Will there be any public agreement on frontier AI between China and the US or American AI companies before 2028? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: Resolution criteria