Güncel topluluk tahmini
Hayır 96.7%
Tahminciler
21
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
10 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis20 Haz 24 20:11 UTC30 Haz 27 05:59 UTC
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İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14
PolymarketWill the next Starliner crewed flight be a complete Success?
Manifold MarketsWhen will Starship flight 14 happen?
Manifold MarketsWhen will Starship flight 15 happen?
Manifold MarketsSpaceX Starship manned flight to successfully land on the moon by the end of 2026?
FutuurWill SpaceX test its HLS before 2027?
KalshiKurallar
There are not currently plans for such a test.
- However, the Boe-CFT Crewed Flight Test has experienced problems, and there is speculation about another test flight before the first operational flight Starliner-1.
- Will such a flight happen?
- [tweet]Update 2025-11-24 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): If there is an uncrewed "operational" flight named Starliner-1, this market will resolve No, even if it functions as another test flight in practice.
- The key criterion is whether the flight occurs before the Starliner-1 flight (by name), not whether it's operationally a test.
- If the resolution becomes unclear, the creator will seek an uninvolved second opinion.
Açık piyasalar
SpacePOLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
- Anthropic+2.0pt89%
- OpenAI-2.8pt9%
- Google-0.1pt2%
+18 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺128,8 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺5,4 Mn
POLYMARKETLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Anthropic+0.4pt58.8%
- SpaceX-3.5pt39.2%
- OpenAI+0.1pt2.1%
+9 daha fazla sonuç
LIMITLESSSpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
- No50.5%
- Yes49.5%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺5,5 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺1,2 Mn
KALSHIHow many launches will SpaceX have in September?
- Above 8-7.0pt83%
- Above 9-28.0pt45%
- Above 10-10.0pt13%
+8 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
KALSHIWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Before 2028-2.0pt63%
- Before Apr 1, 202751%
- Before May 1, 202749%
+8 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺49,6 Mn
POLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of October?
- Anthropic+0.5pt72.8%
- OpenAI-0.3pt16.5%
- Google+0.4pt7.8%
+18 daha fazla sonuç
- Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by which date?
- Which company has the best AI Agent end of September?
- Third-best AI Lab end of September?
- Third-best AI Lab end of October?
- Which company has #1 AI model end of September? (Style Control On)
- AI data center in space by which date?
- Highest Grok score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
- Will a new interstellar visitor be confirmed before 2027?
- Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by which date?
Sık sorulan sorular
- Will there be another Starliner flight test before the Starliner-1 flight? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 8 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla No için 97% fiyatlıyor.
- Will there be another Starliner flight test before the Starliner-1 flight? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Will there be another Starliner flight test before the Starliner-1 flight? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 30 Haziran 2027.
- Will there be another Starliner flight test before the Starliner-1 flight? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: There are not currently plans for such a test.