Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahmini
Hayır 55.4%
Hayır 55.4%Tahminciler
47
Soru türü
binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
20 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis6 May 23 12:14 UTC31 Ara 50 19:59 UTC
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Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Will there be a civil war in the United States before 2030?
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FutuurKurallar
The Russian civil war of 1917-1923 doesn't count.
- I only mean a war that started later that the creation of the market (6 May 2023).
- Update (25 Jan 2024): after discussion with @PS, I decided that if an edge case arises, I will check Wikipedia and Western media and see if they consistently describe the conflict in question as a civil war.
- Also, if in doubt, I may or may not temporarily freeze the market and consult the traders, and/or resolve N/A.
