Güncel topluluk tahmini
Hayır 65.6%3 seçenek arasında lider
Tahminciler
34
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multiple choice
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
7g Değişim
0.0 pts
Piyasa verileri
17 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis6 Kas 25 05:24 UTC15 Oca 32 23:59 UTC
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İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
When will the first orbital data center with ≥1 MW of compute power become operational?
Manifold MarketsWhen will SpaceX's AI1 orbital data center be operational?
Manifold MarketsWill there be over 1 GW of data center on the moon by EOY 2032?
Manifold MarketsHow many states will adopt data center moratoriums in 2026?
KalshiAI data center in space by which date?
PolymarketWill another state enact a data center moratorium in 2026?
KalshiKurallar
Inspired by:
- [tweet]Does not include compute solely in support of normal satellite activities like communication or imaging.
- Update 2025-11-06 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Clarification on what counts as "compute":
- Current satellite edge computing (e.g., Starlink's onboard processing for communications) does not count toward the 1GW threshold
- Only orbital data centers count - facilities where:
- The customer is indifferent about the data center's location (aside from price)
Açık piyasalar
AIPOLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028+11.0pt59.8%
- 202730.8%
- 2026+3.0pt9.3%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺12,7 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺9,1 Mn
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,+1.5pt88%
- December 15,86%
- November 30,+0.5pt85%
+7 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
KALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max+6.0pt72%
- claude-opus-5-max+8.0pt9%
- claude-opus-5-high+2.0pt6%
+3 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude+0.4pt59%
- ChatGPT+2.4pt26.7%
- Gemini+0.3pt5.7%
+5 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺513,3 Mn
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+5.0pt78.4%
- ChatGPT-3.0pt12.6%
- Gemini2.7%
+4 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺19,6 Mn
POLYMARKETOpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
- 1480+-3.0pt67%
- 1490+-2.5pt53%
- 1500+-1.5pt28%
+2 daha fazla sonuç
- Gemini 4.0 released by which date?
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Tencent market share this week
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
- Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by which date?
- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
- Will Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution?
- What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
- OpenAI market share this week
- Most popular AI this week
Sık sorulan sorular
- Will there be 1GW of orbital data center compute by EOY 2031? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 8 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla No için 66% fiyatlıyor.
- Will there be 1GW of orbital data center compute by EOY 2031? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Will there be 1GW of orbital data center compute by EOY 2031? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 15 Ocak 2032.
- Will there be 1GW of orbital data center compute by EOY 2031? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: Inspired by: