When will the first orbital data center with ≥1 MW of compute power become operational?
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8 Eyl 2026 15:40 UTC itibarıyla veriler · politika pm-quality-3
Güncel topluluk tahmini
2031-2032 35.2%7 seçenek arasında lider
Tahminciler
10
Soru türü
multiple choice
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Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
7g Değişim
-0.4 pts
Piyasa verileri
16 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis11 Haz 26 08:13 UTC31 Ara 36 23:59 UTC
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Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
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KalshiKurallar
The market resolves to the period containing the first date on which a space-based computing facility meets ALL of the following:
- Power: At least 1 MW of electrical power dedicated to computing payloads (not total bus power).
- A single spacecraft or a constellation explicitly operated as one integrated compute cluster (e.g., optically interconnected and marketed/operated as a single facility) both qualify.
- Aggregating unrelated satellites does not.
- Operational: The facility has performed commercial or institutional computing workloads for at least 30 consecutive days.
- Demonstrators count only if serving external customers or sustained internal production workloads (e.g., the operator's own training/inference).
Sık sorulan sorular
- When will the first orbital data center with ≥1 MW of compute power become operational? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 8 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla 2031-2032 için 35% fiyatlıyor.
- When will the first orbital data center with ≥1 MW of compute power become operational? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- When will the first orbital data center with ≥1 MW of compute power become operational? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 31 Aralık 2036.
- When will the first orbital data center with ≥1 MW of compute power become operational? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: The market resolves to the period containing the first date on which a space-based computing facility meets ALL of the following:
