Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiHayır 81.2%
Tahminciler
100
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
2 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis14 May 22 01:21 UTC1 Oca 30 06:00 UTC
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İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
If Germany stops giving Ukraine heavy weapons, will Ukraine still exist in 2030?
Manifold MarketsAfter the war in Ukraine ends, which of the following regions (oblasts) will be held by Ukraine?
Manifold MarketsHow will the war in Ukraine end?
Manifold MarketsWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
PolymarketNobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
PolymarketRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by which date?
PolymarketKurallar
Resolves yes if there is a state of war between Ukraine and Russia or Russian-backed separatists.
- Unless they have a permanent ceasefire and <10 fatalities per year, like Korea.
- Regardless of treaties, the war "ends" when there is a 1 year period with <10 combat fatalities.
Açık piyasalar
GeopoliticsPOLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+6.0pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-3.6pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
+5 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺1,2 Mr
- 24s Hacim
- ₺23,9 Mn
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-0.5pt48.3%
- October 31-1.0pt29.2%
- September 30-2.0pt11.7%
+17 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- September 30+2.0pt80%
- September 18+2.0pt75%
- September 11+10.0pt70%
+2 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- No96%
- Yes4%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺2 Mr
- 24s Hacim
- ₺5,3 Mn
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+20 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETNobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
- Yulia Navalnaya8%
- UNRWA+0.2pt8%
- International Court of Justice+0.8pt6%
+17 daha fazla sonuç
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by which date?
- US-Iran nuclear deal?
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- Russia x Ukraine peace talks by which date?
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by which date?
- Iran full airspace closure by which date?
- Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?
Sık sorulan sorular
- Will the war in Ukraine still be ongoing on Jan 1 2030? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 8 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla No için 81% fiyatlıyor.
- Will the war in Ukraine still be ongoing on Jan 1 2030? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Will the war in Ukraine still be ongoing on Jan 1 2030? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 1 Ocak 2030.
- Will the war in Ukraine still be ongoing on Jan 1 2030? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: Resolves yes if there is a state of war between Ukraine and Russia or Russian-backed separatists.