Will US government action cause a non-Anthropic company to restrict availability of a model in 2026?
YZOne-Off2ay
Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiHayır 73.3%
Tahminciler
6
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
1 saat önce güncellendi
Gecikmeli13 Haz 26 15:41 UTC31 Ara 26 23:59 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Will a non-Anthropic company make a Mythos-class model generally available worldwide in 2026?
Manifold MarketsUS Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?
PolymarketAnother US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?
PolymarketOn which dates will the US government be shutdown?
Manifold MarketsWill Maduro escape prosecution through a deal with the US government?
Manifold MarketsWill any of Ford, GM, Stellantis be bailed out by the US Government by EOY 2026
Manifold MarketsKurallar
Apparent prior restraint doesn't count; the model must be available to some set of users and then have reduced availability.
- The reduced availability must be on-surface-appearance-obviously due to US government action.
- Exception: Ceasing to support any services in some country (e.g. OpenAI removing a country from https://developers.openai.com/api/docs/supported-countries) does NOT count.
