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26 Eki 2026 07:45 UTC itibarıyla veriler · politika pm-quality-4
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Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Will the US government take control of OpenAI or its major technologies before 2030?
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Manifold MarketsWill the US government functionally seize control of Anthropic by EOY2027?
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KalshiKurallar
"US government" includes all branches of federal and state government, including all executive departments (e.g. armed forces, Justice Department) and agencies responsible to them (e.g. FBI, NSA).
- "take control" means direct managerial authority of Anthropic or over its major technologies, or the exercise of such authority. "Control" does not need to be complete but must be dominant.
- If control of a major technology, the control should be somewhat exclusive.
- "major technologies" means frontier or near-frontier AI models, or otherwise unambiguously "major" technologies.
- I will use reasonable judgement to adjudicate edge cases.
- Examples that count:
