Will Anthropic have a major conflict involving its unique corporate structure similar to OpenAI before 2030?
YZOne-Off3y
Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiHayır 60.5%
Tahminciler
41
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
15 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis28 Oca 24 22:46 UTC1 Oca 30 05:59 UTC
Trendler
Makroya Duyarlı Varlıklar
Kurallar
In late 2023, Sam Altman got into a conflict with the non-profit board of directors of OpenAI, resulting in his firing, reinstatement, and reconstitution of the board.
- Anthropic has a different but similar structure, the "Long-Term Benefit Trust", detailed here: https://www.anthropic.com/news/the-long-term-benefit-trust
- Notably, it says that the Trust will be able to appoint a majority of Anthropic board members within 4 years (of September 2023).
- There is some discretion in resolution criteria, but some relevant conflicts include:
- -Dario or a future CEO is removed from their position by the Board (can include a resignation if signs of duress involved)
- -Investors in Anthropic demand changes to the corporate structure, and the structure is changed as a result
