Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiHayır 92.2%
Tahminciler
11
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
8 dakika önce güncellendi
17 Ağu 26 13:40 UTC30 Eyl 26 23:59 UTC
Trendler
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FutuurKurallar
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if the United States military conducts any offensive kinetic military strike—including airstrikes, drone strikes, naval bombardments, or missile strikes—targeting locations within the sovereign territory or territorial waters of Oman on or before September 30, 2026, at 11:59 PM UTC.
- Otherwise, this market resolves to NO.
- Source of Truth: Official statements from the U.S. Department of Defense (DoD), the Omani government, or credible international news organizations (e.g., Reuters, Associated Press, BBC).
- Inclusions: Any acknowledged kinetic strikes on Omani soil or maritime territory by U.S. forces, including accidental strikes or unauthorized actions subsequently confirmed by official military sources.
- Exclusions: Defensive military actions (such as U.S. forces intercepting missiles or drones over Omani airspace without striking targets on Omani territory) and cyber warfare do not qualify.
