Will the Trump administration detonate a nuclear bomb?
PolitikaJeopolitikOne-OffUS PoliticsSeçimMiddle East2yManifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiHayır 90.7%
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5 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis12 Mar 26 20:05 UTC20 Oca 29 20:49 UTC
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FutuurKurallar
This market regards the current Trump/Vance administration, including if J.D. Vance takes over from Donald Trump for any reason in the current presidential term ending January 20th, 2029.
- If a nuclear weapon is confirmed detonated by the United States government, this market resolves Yes.
- This includes weapons testing (but not just hypothetical theories about Richter scale readings in Nevada).
- In order for a denied event (test or strike) to count, the evidence would have to be widely acknowledged by mainstream media, ie.
- CNN and WaPo and the BBC all saying that there was a seismic event AND a radioactive event AND major inside sources all saying the same thing.
- This can also resolve Yes if a US proxy uses a nuclear device with the Trump administration's confirmed approval and assistance, such as if the US provides Israel with a nuclear device and with intelligence to deploy it, which is then detonated.
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Sık sorulan sorular
- Will the Trump administration detonate a nuclear bomb? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 8 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla No için 91% fiyatlıyor.
- Will the Trump administration detonate a nuclear bomb? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Will the Trump administration detonate a nuclear bomb? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 20 Ocak 2029.
- Will the Trump administration detonate a nuclear bomb? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: This market regards the current Trump/Vance administration, including if J.D. Vance takes over from Donald Trump for any reason in the current presidential term ending January 20th, 2029.