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Play-money forecasting platform
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Will AIs be widely recognized as having developed a new, innovative, foundational mathematical theory before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill a theory of everything be found this century?
Manifold MarketsWill a theory of everything (a theory that unites relativity and quantum mechanics) be found in physics by 2040?
Manifold MarketsWill 2026 be the hottest year ever?
KalshiWhere will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
PolymarketWill 2026 be the hottest year ever?
KalshiKurallar
There has been some recent media chatter about the Timescape theory, because of this new paper: https://academic.oup.com/mnrasl/article/537/1/L55/7926647
- News coverage: https://theconversation.com/huge-if-true-dark-energy-doesnt-exist-claims-new-study-on-supernovas-246674 https://www.thequantumcat.space/p/the-week-in-space-and-physics-timescapes https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xoDPPuhASGw
- By 2030, will a majority of cosmologists assign more than a 30% credence to a Timescape style theory?
- By Timescape style, I mean: - Rejecting the cosmological constant or dark energy - Rejecting the cosmological principle
- It should be pretty clear but if not I'll try to email some people, and for good beasure I won't bet on this market