Güncel topluluk tahmini
AI lab 96.9%+16.5pt
Tahminciler
63
Soru türü
multiple choice
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
7g Değişim
+16.5 pts
Piyasa verileri
5 dakika önce güncellendi
21 Ara 25 05:01 UTC31 Ara 99 23:59 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Will the next Millennium Problem be solved by an AI?
Manifold MarketsWill some Millennium Prize Problem be solved by AI before 2032?
Manifold MarketsWill a millennium problem be solved in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
PolymarketThird-best AI Lab end of September?
PolymarketThird-best AI Lab end of October?
PolymarketKurallar
Any successful proof seems likely to come from a team that includes both very good mathematicians and advanced AI programs.
- But which vibe will win credit in the public eye?
- It's Google DeepMind, that's an the named outcome.
- If it's Terrence Tao using GPT-6, that's a the named outcome.
- If it's David Budden using Claude, that's an the named outcome.
- If the people involved are professors at a university, that's probably a the named outcome.
Açık piyasalar
AI
KALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max-13.0pt71%
- claude-opus-5-high+1.0pt5%
- claude-opus-4-6-thinking4%
+3 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺7,6 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺5,8 Mn
POLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028+20.0pt63.5%
- 2027-3.5pt26.1%
- 2026+5.5pt10.4%
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-1.0pt90%
- December 15,-0.5pt86%
- November 30,85%
+7 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude61.8%
- ChatGPT-4.9pt22.6%
- Grok+1.5pt7.8%
+5 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺511,4 Mn
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+4.0pt80.6%
- ChatGPT-3.0pt12%
- Grok2.8%
+4 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺18,2 Mn
- 24s Hacim
POLYMARKETOpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
- 1480+-3.0pt67%
- 1490+-5.5pt50%
- 1500+-10.0pt23%
+2 daha fazla sonuç
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- When will OpenAI achieve AGI?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
- Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by which date?
- What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
Sık sorulan sorular
- Will the next Millennium problem be solved by an AI lab or a mathematics department? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 8 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla AI lab için 97% fiyatlıyor.
- Will the next Millennium problem be solved by an AI lab or a mathematics department? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Will the next Millennium problem be solved by an AI lab or a mathematics department? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 31 Aralık 2099.
- Will the next Millennium problem be solved by an AI lab or a mathematics department? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: Any successful proof seems likely to come from a team that includes both very good mathematicians and advanced AI programs.