Will the global far-right alliances abolish and defunct all prediction markets before 2040?
KriptoOne-OffPolitikaRegülasyonJeopolitik13yManifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiİyi kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiNo, global far-right alliances will not achieve sufficient unified power to ban prediction markets. 68.7%4 seçenek arasında lider
Tahminciler
2
Soru türü
multiple choice
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
7g Değişim
+18.7 pts
Piyasa verileri
11 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis1 Kas 26 08:19 UTC31 Ara 39 11:00 UTC
Trendler
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Resolution criteria
- This is an independent multiple-choice market where each added answer resolves independently:
- Each answer corresponding to an action, entity, or condition will resolve YES if, prior to January 1, 2040, that condition is met according to credible international reporting, official government/treaty publications, or observable market operations.
- Otherwise, it resolves NO.
- If an option specifies that all prediction markets are abolished and rendered defunct globally:
- It resolves YES only if major public prediction market platforms (including centralized and decentralized platforms such as Polymarket, Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, or their primary successors) are universally banned, blocked, or effectively shut down worldwide through coordinated international action, and no major legally operating or actively trading public prediction market survives.
