Güncel topluluk tahmini
Evet 71%
Tahminciler
175
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
9 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis26 Mar 24 16:52 UTC2 Oca 40 04:59 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
What will be true of the next person to walk on the moon? [ADD RESPONSES]
Manifold MarketsWill Supergirl (2026) make back its budget + 50 million dollars?
Manifold MarketsWill the first person to walk on Mars be an Atheist?
Manifold MarketsWill a humanoid robot walk on Mars before a human does?
KalshiSpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
LimitlessWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
PolymarketKurallar
If there are multiple people in the first mission, any of them getting back to Earth will resolve YES.
- Must still be alive.
- Market open until it happens
- See: @/strutheo/will-elon-musk-be-the-first-person
Açık piyasalar
TechKALSHIBTC price on Sep 14, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $75,000 or above99%
- $75,250 or above99%
- $74,500 or above99%
+77 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺49,6 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺49,5 Mn
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 14, 2026 at 11am EDT?
- $77,900 or above99%
- $77,800 or above99%
- $77,700 or above99%
+97 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺50,2 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺41,7 Mn
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 12 - September 14, 2026?
- 40-64+1.6pt52.4%
- 65-89+43.8pt47.6%
- <40-47.5pt0%
+7 daha fazla sonuç
LIMITLESSSpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
- No82.5%
- Yes17.5%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺17,5 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺15,9 Mn
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 11 - September 18, 2026?
- 180-199+4.0pt23.8%
- 200-219+10.5pt22.9%
- 220-239+10.0pt17.1%
+23 daha fazla sonuç
KALSHIBitcoin price at the end of 2026
- 75,000 to 79,999.99+0.2pt14.3%
- 70,000 to 74,999.99-0.1pt12.4%
- 80,000 to 84,999.99+1.5pt12.4%
+25 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- BTC price on Sep 18, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- Where will it rain on Sep 14, 2026?
- NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down - Daily
- When will Apple release the iPhone 18?
- Highest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 14, 2026?
- Best AI at the end of 2026?
- Highest temperature in New York City on Sep 14, 2026?
- ETH price on Sep 14, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- Elon Musk # tweets September 15 - September 22, 2026?
- Which company has the best AI model end of September?
- Nasdaq-100 price on Sep 14, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
Sık sorulan sorular
- Will the first person to walk on Mars make it back to Earth? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 14 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla Yes için 71% fiyatlıyor.
- Will the first person to walk on Mars make it back to Earth? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Will the first person to walk on Mars make it back to Earth? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 2 Ocak 2040.
- Will the first person to walk on Mars make it back to Earth? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: If there are multiple people in the first mission, any of them getting back to Earth will resolve YES.