Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminisafely returns to Earth 93.9%35 seçenek arasında lider
Tahminciler
57
Soru türü
multiple choice
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
7g Değişim
0.0 pts
Piyasa verileri
16 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis7 Nis 24 05:06 UTC31 Ara 39 15:59 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Will the first person to walk on Mars make it back to Earth?
Manifold MarketsWill the next person to walk on the moon be American?
Manifold MarketsWill a human walk on the Moon again before 2040?
Manifold MarketsBTC price on Sep 14, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
KalshiSpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
LimitlessBitcoin price at the end of 2026
KalshiKurallar
All are at the time of moon walk unless otherwise specified.
- Add your own.
- Should be easily verified (ie nothing like "they love pineapple on pizza").
- Intention is "what will be the properties of Neil Armstrong 2.0".
- In general, all items are taken to be "as publicly known, at the time of the landing".
- So if the astronaut is trans but stealth and this has somehow not come up, it would resolve 'NO' for 'the named outcome'.
Açık piyasalar
TechKALSHIBTC price on Sep 14, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $75,000 or above99%
- $75,250 or above99%
- $74,500 or above99%
+77 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺49,6 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺49,5 Mn
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 14, 2026 at 11am EDT?
- $77,900 or above99%
- $77,800 or above99%
- $77,700 or above99%
+97 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺50,2 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺41,7 Mn
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 12 - September 14, 2026?
- 40-64+1.6pt52.4%
- 65-89+43.8pt47.6%
- <40-47.5pt0%
+7 daha fazla sonuç
LIMITLESSSpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
- No82.5%
- Yes17.5%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺17,5 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺15,9 Mn
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 11 - September 18, 2026?
- 180-199+4.0pt23.8%
- 200-219+10.5pt22.9%
- 220-239+10.0pt17.1%
+23 daha fazla sonuç
KALSHIBitcoin price at the end of 2026
- 75,000 to 79,999.99+0.2pt14.3%
- 70,000 to 74,999.99-0.1pt12.4%
- 80,000 to 84,999.99+1.5pt12.4%
+25 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- BTC price on Sep 18, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- Where will it rain on Sep 14, 2026?
- NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down - Daily
- When will Apple release the iPhone 18?
- Highest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 14, 2026?
- Best AI at the end of 2026?
- Highest temperature in New York City on Sep 14, 2026?
- ETH price on Sep 14, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- Elon Musk # tweets September 15 - September 22, 2026?
- Which company has the best AI model end of September?
- Nasdaq-100 price on Sep 14, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
Sık sorulan sorular
- What will be true of the next person to walk on the moon? [ADD RESPONSES] için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 14 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla safely returns to Earth için 94% fiyatlıyor.
- What will be true of the next person to walk on the moon? [ADD RESPONSES] ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- What will be true of the next person to walk on the moon? [ADD RESPONSES] için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 31 Aralık 2039.
- What will be true of the next person to walk on the moon? [ADD RESPONSES] nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: All are at the time of moon walk unless otherwise specified.