Güncel topluluk tahmini
By 12-31-2028 50.3%13 seçenek arasında lider
Tahminciler
78
Soru türü
multiple choice
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
7g Değişim
0.0 pts
Piyasa verileri
17 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis26 Eki 25 11:38 UTC31 Ara 27 10:29 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Will the AI bubble pop before 2028?
Manifold MarketsIs Sora's shutdown the start of an AI bubble pop by 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill we be called the AI bubble ? 2028
Manifold MarketsWill the AI bubble pop in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the AI bubble burst by which date?
FutuurWhich bubble bursts first?
MyriadKurallar
Will the AI bubble pop by X date?
- For the purpose of resolving this market, I will define the AI bubble popping as a reduction in the Roundhill Magnificent Seven ETF (MAGS) closing price of 35% or more within a period of 10 consecutive trading days.
- More formally, let pₜ be the closing price of MAGS on trading day t, and let pₜ₊ₛ be the closing price of MAGS on trading day t + s, such that 0 < s ≤ 10.
- A market will resolve to Yes if
- (pₜ - pₜ₊ₛ) / pₜ ≥ .35
- is satisfied by the stated date.
Tahmin Kaynağı Karşılaştırması
- Polymarket üzerinde de mevcut — AI bubble burst by...? · June 30, 2027 23%
