Güncel topluluk tahmini
By 12-31-2025 0%10 seçenek arasında lider
Tahminciler
72
Soru türü
multiple choice
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
21 saat önce guncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis26 Eki 25 11:3831 Ara 27 10:29
Trendler
Yalnızca sanal bakiye, gerçek para yokYatırım tavsiyesi değildir
Seçilen sonuç
By 9-30-20265%
Platformları karşılaştır· By 3-31-2028
Piyasa kalitesine, ardından likidite ve 24s hacme göre sıralanır| Platform | Kalite | Olasılık | referansa göre | 24s Hacim | Likidite | Güncellik | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketGenel en iyi%72 eşleşme · doğrulandı | Orta | 16% | — | ₺331,3 | ₺799 B | 16 dakika önce | Aç → |
| Manifold MarketsBu sayfa | — | 47% | — | — | — | 21 saat önce |
Polymarket üzerinde de mevcut
AI bubble burst by which date?
5ay
16%
-0.1%0%
+0.1%0%
60 • Orta kaliteOrta spreadOrta likidite
Toplam Hacim₺137,7 Mn
24s Hacim₺331,3
POLYMARKETKurallar
Will the AI bubble pop by X date?
- For the purpose of resolving this market, I will define the AI bubble popping as a reduction in the Roundhill Magnificent Seven ETF (MAGS) closing price of 35% or more within a period of 10 consecutive trading days.
- More formally, let pₜ be the closing price of MAGS on trading day t, and let pₜ₊ₛ be the closing price of MAGS on trading day t + s, such that 0 < s ≤ 10.
- A market will resolve to Yes if
- (pₜ - pₜ₊ₛ) / pₜ ≥ .35
- is satisfied by the stated date.
Olasılıklar farklı piyasa yapıları, ücretler ve katılımcı havuzları nedeniyle değişiklik gösterebilir.
Hacim trendi
$709 Tem4g veri25 Tem
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Will the AI bubble pop by X date?
- For the purpose of resolving this market, I will define the AI bubble popping as a reduction in the Roundhill Magnificent Seven ETF (MAGS) closing price of 35% or more within a period of 10 consecutive trading days.
- More formally, let pₜ be the closing price of MAGS on trading day t, and let pₜ₊ₛ be the closing price of MAGS on trading day t + s, such that 0 < s ≤ 10.
- A market will resolve to Yes if
- (pₜ - pₜ₊ₛ) / pₜ ≥ .35
- is satisfied by the stated date.