Will "The AFFINE Superintelligence Alignment Semina..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?
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Will "PSA: Almost nobody is working on alignment" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?
Manifold MarketsWill "OpenAI's myopia keeps causing alignment problems" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?
Manifold MarketsWill "I think alignment work is more promising than..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?
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KalshiAnthropic IPO by which date?
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As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts.
- Posts are reviewable once they have been up for at least 12 months, and the 2026 Review resolves in February 2028.
- This market will resolve to 100% if the post The AFFINE Superintelligence Alignment Seminar – A Retrospective is one of the top fifty posts of the 2026 Review, and 0% otherwise.
- The market was initialized to 14%.