Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by...?

₺261,8 B

July 31: 77%

POLYMARKET

$Which company has the best Math AI model end of July?$

Which company has the best Math AI model end of July?

₺176,8 B

Anthropic: 85%

POLYMARKET

Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by July 31?

₺148,6 B

↑$875B: 100%

POLYMARKET

Anthropic acquired by Apple before 2030?

₺94,4 B

Evet: 2.3%

MANIFOLD MARKETS

When will AI solve another Frontier Math Problem?

₺39,7 B

Before September: 48%

KALSHI

How interesting are my different ideas for LessWrong posts, and when will I post them?

₺30 B

1a) AI Safety Research Futarchy Follow-up, >50 upvotes: 54.4%

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will "PSA: Almost nobody is working on alignment" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?