Güncel topluluk tahmini
Hayır 79.4%
Tahminciler
12
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
16 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis2 Tem 26 17:36 UTC31 Ara 30 23:59 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Will the NWS stop providing weather forecasts before 2027?
Manifold MarketsHow many all-time high temperature records will be broken at US weather stations in August 2026?
PolymarketWill the US break its record for billion-dollar weather and climate disasters in 2026?
PolymarketWill someone actually “dim the sun” by 2035?
Manifold MarketsWill an AI play a pivotal role in solving an important political issue by 2033?
Manifold MarketsKurallar
A weather market includes weather futures, markets on snow, rain, temperature in a city.
- Things that would count: geoengineering, earthworks, reforestation
- An entity must manipulate the weather itself.
- The manipulation must have some reasonable intent of manipulating the prediction market.
- Manipulating a weather measurement device with false measurements does not count.
- However, manipulating a measurement device with real weather changes does count.
Sık sorulan sorular
- Will someone manipulate the weather to manipulate a weather market? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 8 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla No için 79% fiyatlıyor.
- Will someone manipulate the weather to manipulate a weather market? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Will someone manipulate the weather to manipulate a weather market? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 31 Aralık 2030.
- Will someone manipulate the weather to manipulate a weather market? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: A weather market includes weather futures, markets on snow, rain, temperature in a city.
