Will Saudi Arabia acquire nuclear weapons before 2031?
JeopolitikOne-OffMiddle EastChinaLatin America4y
Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahmini
Hayır 82.5%
Tahminciler
33
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
4 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis10 Şub 24 16:22 UTC1 Mar 31 22:59 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Will Iran acquire nuclear weapons before 2031?
Manifold MarketsWill Germany acquire nuclear weapons before 2031?
Manifold MarketsWill Turkey acquire nuclear weapons before 2031?
Manifold MarketsSaudi Arabia military action against Yemen by which date?
PolymarketMohammed bin Salman out as leader of Saudi Arabia by which date?
PolymarketWill Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations during Trump's term?
KalshiKurallar
Resolves as YES if there is strong evidence that Saudi Arabia has acquired at least one nuclear weapon before January 1st 2031.
- This device must be under the sovereign control of the Saudi State, and they must have the ability to use it independently.
- Different years:
- @/RemNi/will-saudi-arabia-acquire-nuclear-w (this question)
- @/RemNi/will-saudi-arabia-acquire-nuclear-w-dec3b5e7dd7f
- Different countries:
Açık piyasalar
GeopoliticsPOLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+4.0pt74%
- New People (NL)-3.3pt22%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.0pt3%
+5 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺1,3 Mr
- 24s Hacim
- ₺29,5 Mn
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-3.9pt47.8%
- October 31-3.0pt29.2%
- September 30-4.0pt12.4%
+17 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- September 30-5.0pt74%
- September 18-10.0pt67%
- September 11-2.5pt63%
+2 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- December 317%
- September 30+0.3pt1%
- July 310%
+7 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+20 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- No-0.1pt96%
- Yes+0.1pt4%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺2 Mr
- 24s Hacim
- ₺5,3 Mn
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
- US-Iran nuclear deal?
- Russia x Ukraine peace talks by which date?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by which date?
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- Iran full airspace closure by which date?
- Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?
- Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by which date?
Sık sorulan sorular
- Will Saudi Arabia acquire nuclear weapons before 2031? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 8 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla No için 83% fiyatlıyor.
- Will Saudi Arabia acquire nuclear weapons before 2031? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Will Saudi Arabia acquire nuclear weapons before 2031? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 1 Mart 2031.
- Will Saudi Arabia acquire nuclear weapons before 2031? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: Resolves as YES if there is strong evidence that Saudi Arabia has acquired at least one nuclear weapon before January 1st 2031.