Will Russia launch a military attack against Poland by the end of 2039?
JeopolitikOne-OffRussia / Ukraine13yManifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiEvet 61.7%
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Guncelligini yitirmis13 Şub 24 03:28 UTC1 Oca 40 04:59 UTC
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İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
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PolymarketKurallar
Inspired by @XYZ_RGB's question, thank you making the example.
- Resolves YES if Russia exerts kinetic military action in the territory of Poland by December 31st, 2029. "Kinetic military action" excludes electronic and cybernetic war resources.
- It includes shooting projectiles, and deploying troops or military vehicles inside Poland.
- We will ignore accidents with stray missiles such as this one.
- Resolves NO in 2040-Jan if no kinetic military attack happens.
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Sık sorulan sorular
- Will Russia launch a military attack against Poland by the end of 2039? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 8 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla Yes için 62% fiyatlıyor.
- Will Russia launch a military attack against Poland by the end of 2039? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Will Russia launch a military attack against Poland by the end of 2039? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 1 Ocak 2040.
- Will Russia launch a military attack against Poland by the end of 2039? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: Inspired by @XYZ_RGB's question, thank you making the example.