Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiHayır 93.7%
Tahminciler
3
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
19 dakika önce güncellendi
5 Eki 26 10:32 UTC31 Ara 29 23:59 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
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Manifold MarketsKurallar
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if, at any point before January 1, 2030 (12:00 AM UTC), Russian military forces launch a physical invasion of the sovereign land territory of the United Kingdom (Great Britain and Northern Ireland).
- Otherwise, this market resolves to NO.
- For the purposes of this market, an "invasion" is defined as:
- The entry of Russian armed forces (regular land, sea, or air combat troops) onto UK land territory with hostile intent, for combat, or for the purpose of military occupation.
- The event must be officially recognized or reported as an invasion, armed incursion, or hostile military landing on UK soil by the UK Government, the United Nations, or at least three major international news organizations (e.g., Reuters, BBC, Associated Press, Bloomberg).