Güncel topluluk tahmini
Evet 94.9%
Tahminciler
38
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
11 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis18 Şub 24 05:12 UTC2 Oca 30 07:59 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
3x3x3 Rubik's Cube solved by video generation model by EOY 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhich company has the best Text-to-Video AI end of October?
PolymarketTop Text to Video AI this week
KalshiWhich company has the best Text-to-Video AI end of September?
PolymarketWill a human control in real time a humanoid robot on the surface of Mars before 2040 using VR technology?
Manifold MarketsReal-time whole human brain emulation runs before end of 2038 (not necessarily an 'upload' of a specific human).
Manifold MarketsKurallar
This market resolves YES if, by January 1, 2030, I can prompt a text-to-video generator to create a 1 minute video and get a result meeting the following criteria:
- I have to wait no more than one second for the video to load (either at the beginning or anywhere in the middle)
- At least 1080p resolution
- At least 24 frames per second
- Subjectively, at least as realistic and visually appealing as the "stylish woman walks down a Tokyo street" example from Sora
- If I wanted to, I could do this 100 times on the same day and pay less than $20 (this accounts for various pricing schemes, e.g. subscription-based or pay-per-video)
Açık piyasalar
SportsKALSHISabalenka vs Noskova
- Aryna Sabalenka-7.0pt62.4%
- Linda Noskova+7.0pt37.6%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺715,8 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺685 Mn
POLYMARKETCounter-Strike: G2 vs Astralis (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group A
- 2 Winner+33.0pt100%
- O/U 2.5 Games+57.0pt100%
- 1 Rounds Handicap: Astralis (-3.5) vs G2 (+3.5)100%
+29 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETUEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion
- Barcelona18.1%
- Arsenal15.2%
- Paris Saint-Germain13.3%
+33 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺1,4 Mr
KALSHIClub Brugge vs Aston Villa
- Aston Villa+50.0pt87.3%
- Tie-17.0pt9.8%
- Club Brugge-32.0pt2.9%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺127,7 Mn
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Aryna Sabalenka vs Linda Noskova Quarter Finals match
- Aryna Sabalenka72.6%
- Linda Noskova27.4%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺878,2 B
- 24s Hacim
- ₺108,8 Mn
KALSHIUS Open Men's Singles Winner
- Carlos Alcaraz57%
- Alexander Zverev+4.0pt26%
- Ben Shelton9%
+45 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺1,4 Mr
- 24s Hacim
- ₺106,6 Mn
- BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Villarreal CF
- US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Linda Noskova
- Tiafoe vs Michelsen
- Genoa: Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Francesco Ferrari
- 2027 Pro Football Champion
- MLB: Chicago Cubs vs Milwaukee Brewers (Sep 7, 2026)
- MLB: New York Mets vs Miami Marlins (Sep 7, 2026)
- Amgen Irish Open Winner
- Real Madrid vs Inter
- MLB: Arizona Diamondbacks vs Kansas City Royals (Sep 7, 2026)
- Waltert vs Masarova
- US Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alex Michelsen
Sık sorulan sorular
- Will real-time text-to-video generation be viable by 2030? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 8 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla Yes için 95% fiyatlıyor.
- Will real-time text-to-video generation be viable by 2030? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Will real-time text-to-video generation be viable by 2030? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 2 Ocak 2030.
- Will real-time text-to-video generation be viable by 2030? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: This market resolves YES if, by January 1, 2030, I can prompt a text-to-video generator to create a 1 minute video and get a result meeting the following criteria: