Güncel topluluk tahmini
Hayır 76.6%
Tahminciler
15
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
7 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis13 Mar 24 15:22 UTC2 Oca 27 07:59 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Will real-time text-to-video generation be viable by 2030?
Manifold MarketsBest Video Generation Model (by company/organization) EOY 2026
Manifold Markets3x3x3 Rubik's Cube solved by video generation model by EOY 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhich company has the best Text-to-Video AI end of November?
PolymarketWhich company has the best Text-to-Video AI end of October?
PolymarketTop Text to Video AI this week
KalshiKurallar
This market resolves YES if, by January 1, 2027, I can prompt a text-to-video generator to create a 1 minute video and get a result meeting the following criteria:
- I have to wait no more than one second for the video to load (either at the beginning or anywhere in the middle)
- At least 1080p resolution
- At least 24 frames per second
- Subjectively, at least as realistic and visually appealing as the "stylish woman walks down a Tokyo street" example from Sora
- If I wanted to, I could do this 100 times on the same day and pay less than $20 (this accounts for various pricing schemes, e.g. subscription-based or pay-per-video)
Açık piyasalar
SportsKALSHIFlorida St. vs Alabama
- Alabama+2.0pt95%
- Florida St.-5.0pt5%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺542,4 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺508 Mn
KALSHILSU vs Ole Miss
- LSU-6.0pt52.5%
- Ole Miss+6.0pt47.5%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺615,3 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺461,5 Mn
KALSHILSU vs Ole Miss: Spread
- LSU wins by over 1.5 points-8.0pt49%
- LSU wins by over 2.5 points-7.0pt48%
- Ole Miss wins by over 1.5 points+5.0pt46%
+26 daha fazla sonuç
KALSHIFlorida St. vs Alabama: Spread
- Alabama wins by over 4.5 points+11.0pt95%
- Alabama wins by over 1.5 points+3.0pt94%
- Alabama wins by over 3.5 points+6.0pt92%
+27 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETLoL: LYON vs Cloud9 (BO5) - LCS Playoffs
- Game 2 Winner+34.5pt100%
- Games Total: O/U 3.5 — Over+35.0pt100%
- Any Player Quadra Kill+61.0pt100%
+66 daha fazla sonuç
KALSHIMississippi St. vs South Carolina
- Mississippi St.+52.0pt91%
- South Carolina-54.0pt9%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺172,4 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺150,5 Mn
- Biltmore Championship Asheville Winner
- 2027 Pro Football Champion
- 331: Van vs Pantoja
- Florida vs Auburn
- Stearns vs Jovic
- Mississippi St. vs South Carolina: Spread
- Michigan St. vs Notre Dame
- BMW PGA Championship Winner
- Colorado vs Northwestern
- Toronto vs Texas
- 331: Tsarukyan vs Ruffy
- LSU vs Ole Miss: Total Points
Sık sorulan sorular
- Will real-time text-to-video generation be viable by 2027? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 19 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla No için 77% fiyatlıyor.
- Will real-time text-to-video generation be viable by 2027? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Will real-time text-to-video generation be viable by 2027? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 2 Ocak 2027.
- Will real-time text-to-video generation be viable by 2027? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: This market resolves YES if, by January 1, 2027, I can prompt a text-to-video generator to create a 1 minute video and get a result meeting the following criteria: