Güncel topluluk tahmini
Hayır 74.3%
Tahminciler
13
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
15 dakika önce güncellendi
17 Eki 23 14:54 UTC1 Oca 30 05:59 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Will quantum computing achieve practical advantage in cryptography before 2030?
Manifold MarketsIn which year will a quantum computer with at least 1,000 logical qubits be publicly demonstrated?
Manifold MarketsWill at least one of the remaining Millenium Problems be solved before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWhen will the first useful quantum computer be developed?
KalshiHow many people will Neuralink have implanted in 2026?
KalshiWhich country will be the next to send humans to the Moon?
KalshiKurallar
Based on the resolution to this market:
- (https://manifold.markets/embed/CamillePerrin/in-what-year-will-quantum-advantage?r=Sm9zZXBoTm9vbmFu)Resolves YES if quantum advantage is demonstrated before 2030, according to the linked market (i.e., the linked market resolves to some number) and NO if it is not (i.e., the linked market resolves N/A).
- If the linked market resolves N/A due to some edge case, rather than a definite case of quantum advantage not being demonstrated before 2030, this market will resolve N/A as well.
Açık piyasalar
ScienceKALSHIWhen will the next Millennium Prize be awarded?
- Before 2035+19.9pt95%
- Before 2030+6.0pt82%
- Before 2029+23.4pt55%
+2 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺12,7 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺7,1 Mn
POLYMARKETWill the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- December 31+0.1pt4%
- September 30+0.1pt1%
- April 300%
+3 daha fazla sonuç
KALSHIWill the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?
- Before Jan 20, 202920%
- Before 202813%
- Before 2027+0.3pt5%
+5 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺1,6 Mr
- 24s Hacim
- ₺1,6 Mn
KALSHIWhen will the Riemann hypothesis be solved?
- Before 2030+71.0pt92%
- Before 2035+11.0pt56%
- Before 203248%
+1 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺6,1 Mn
KALSHIWill WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
- No97%
- Yes-0.9pt3%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺91,4 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺292,1 B
POLYMARKETMin Arctic sea ice extent this summer?
- 4.4-4.6m+15.8pt64.4%
- 4.2-4.4m-16.6pt27.9%
- 4.6-4.8m-0.1pt2.9%
+4 daha fazla sonuç
- How many 5.5 or above earthquakes worldwide September 7 - September 13?
- Will 2026 be the hottest year ever?
- Will there be an 8 magnitude earthquake in California before 2027?
- Major volcano eruption in 2026?
- How many major Atlantic hurricanes will there be in 2026?
- Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
- When will Compass Pathways submit a NDA for COMP360 psilocybin?
- How many human screwworm cases will be reported in the United States in 2026?
- Which countries will report an Ebola case in 2026?
- US grants license for new nuclear reactor before 2027?
- 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
Sık sorulan sorular
- Will quantum advantage be demonstrated for practical quantum chemistry problems before 2030? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 9 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla No için 74% fiyatlıyor.
- Will quantum advantage be demonstrated for practical quantum chemistry problems before 2030? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Will quantum advantage be demonstrated for practical quantum chemistry problems before 2030? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 1 Ocak 2030.
- Will quantum advantage be demonstrated for practical quantum chemistry problems before 2030? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: Based on the resolution to this market: