Güncel topluluk tahmini
Evet 67%
Tahminciler
10
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
4 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis7 Eyl 26 16:27 UTC31 Ara 40 23:59 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Will P vs NP be resolved before man lands on Mars?
Manifold MarketsWill P vs NP be resolved before man lands on Mars?
Manifold MarketsWill "The Winds of Winter" be released before humanity lands on Mars?
Manifold MarketsNASA lands on the moon?
KalshiWill 2026 be the hottest year ever?
KalshiWhich country will be the next to send humans to the Moon?
KalshiKurallar
resolves NO when P vs NP is resolved or YES when man lands on Mars, whichever comes first
- resolution of P vs NP is a proof or disproof of P≠NP accepted by the mathematical community
- man lands on Mars when a live human body is separated from the Mars surface only by like a solid thing, such as a spaceship or spacesuit (edit: or both of course, but touching each other)
Açık piyasalar
Space
POLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
- Anthropic+2.0pt89%
- OpenAI-2.8pt9%
- Google-0.1pt2%
+18 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺128,8 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺5,4 Mn
POLYMARKETLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Anthropic+0.4pt58.8%
- SpaceX-3.5pt39.2%
- OpenAI+0.1pt2.1%
+9 daha fazla sonuç
LIMITLESSSpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
- No50.5%
- Yes49.5%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺5,5 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺1,2 Mn
KALSHIHow many launches will SpaceX have in September?
- Above 8-7.0pt83%
- Above 9-28.0pt45%
- Above 10-10.0pt13%
+8 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
KALSHIWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Before 2028-2.0pt63%
- Before Apr 1, 202751%
- Before May 1, 202749%
+8 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺49,6 Mn
POLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of October?
- Anthropic+0.5pt72.8%
- OpenAI-0.3pt16.5%
- Google+0.4pt7.8%
+18 daha fazla sonuç
- Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by which date?
- Which company has the best AI Agent end of September?
- Third-best AI Lab end of September?
- Third-best AI Lab end of October?
- Which company has #1 AI model end of September? (Style Control On)
- AI data center in space by which date?
- Highest Grok score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
- Will a new interstellar visitor be confirmed before 2027?
- Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by which date?
Sık sorulan sorular
- Will P vs NP be resolved after man lands on Mars? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 8 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla Yes için 67% fiyatlıyor.
- Will P vs NP be resolved after man lands on Mars? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Will P vs NP be resolved after man lands on Mars? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 31 Aralık 2040.
- Will P vs NP be resolved after man lands on Mars? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: resolves NO when P vs NP is resolved or YES when man lands on Mars, whichever comes first